A Tale of Two Housing Markets

Real Estate News

A Tale of Two Housing Markets

Two women talking near a house with a 'For Sale' sign.

For a long time, the housing market was all sunshine for sellers. Homes were flying off the shelves, and buyers had to compete like crazy. But lately, things are starting to shift. Some areas are still super competitive for buyers, while others are seeing more homes sit on the market, giving buyers a bit more breathing room.

In other words, it’s a tale of two markets, and knowing which one you’re in makes a huge difference when you move.

What Is a Buyer’s Market vs. a Seller’s Market?

In a buyer’s market, there are a lot of homes for sale, and not as many people buying. With fewer buyers competing for these homes, that means they generally sit on the market longer, they might not sell for as much as they would in a seller’s market, and buyers have more room to negotiate.

On the flip side, in a seller’s market, there aren’t enough homes for sale for the number of buyers who are trying to purchase them. Homes sell faster, sellers often get multiple offers, and prices shoot higher because buyers are willing to pay more to win the home.

The Market Is Starting To Balance Out

For years, almost every market in the country was a strong seller’s market. That made it tough for buyers – especially first-timers. But now, things are shifting. According to Zillow, the national housing market is balancing out (see graph below):

Bar graph showing housing market heat index over time with fluctuating seller and neutral market phases.

The index used in this graph measures whether the national housing market is more of a seller’s market, buyer’s market, or neutral market – basically, whether it favors buyers, sellers, or if it’s not really swinging either way. Each month, the market is measured between 0 and 100. The closer to 100, the bigger the advantage sellers have.

The orange bars in the middle of the graph show the years when sellers had their strongest advantage, from 2020 to early 2022. But, as time has gone on, the market has become more balanced. It shifted from a strong seller’s market to a less intense one. And lately, it’s been neutral more than anything else (that’s the gray bars on the right side of the graph). That means buyers are gaining some negotiating power again.

In a more balanced or neutral market, homes tend to stay on the market a little longer, bidding wars are less common, and sellers may need to make more concessions – like price reductions or helping with closing costs. That shift gives today’s buyers more opportunities and less competition than a couple of years ago.

Why Are Things Changing?

Inventory plays a big role. When there are more homes for sale, buyers have more options – and that cools down home price growth. As data from Realtor.com shows, the supply of available homes for sale isn’t growing at the same rate everywhere (see graph below):

Chart showing U.S. housing inventory growth by region projected for March 2025.

On average, over 11,000 homes sell every day, and yours could be one of them. In the time it took you to read this, another 8 homes sold. When you’re ready to take the next step, let’s connect so you have an agent to create that perfect strategy.

 

Why Are Things Changing?

Every local market is different. Even if the national headlines say one thing, your town (or even your neighborhood) could be telling a totally different story.

Knowing which type of market you’re in helps you make smarter decisions for your move. That’s why working with a local real estate agent is so important right now.

As Zillow says:

“Agents are experts on their local markets and can craft buying or selling strategies tailored to local market conditions.”

Agents understand the unique trends in your area and can help you make the best choices, whether you’re buying or selling. With their expert strategies, you can move no matter which way the market is leaning, because they know how to navigate various levels of buyer competition, how to find hidden gems locally, how to price a house right, how to negotiate based on who has more leverage, and more

Bottom line

If you’re ready to make a move, or even just thinking about it, let’s connect. That way, you’ll have someone to help you understand our local market and create a game plan that works for you.

Matt and Ying Coyle of Team Coyle
Matt & Ying Coyle, REALTORS®

Plan Your Next Move With Confidence.

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Disclaimer: The information, opinions, estimates, and commentary in this article are provided for general informational and educational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, tax, accounting, appraisal, investment, mortgage, financing, zoning, permitting, construction, title, insurance, or other professional advice. Real estate information, market conditions, pricing, measurements, square footage, taxes, zoning, school information, and property details may change without notice and may be incomplete, approximate, or derived from third-party sources. You are solely responsible for independently verifying all facts and for consulting the appropriate licensed or qualified professionals before making any decision or taking any action. Team Coyle does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided and is not liable for any loss, damage, cost, or consequence arising from reliance on this content. Your use of this content is also subject to our Terms of Use.

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Methodology

TownRatings™ is a proprietary rating model developed by Team Coyle to help buyers and sellers make informed decisions about Greater Boston real estate. The model analyzes five key community characteristics across a dataset of 64 Greater Boston municipalities using publicly available data and Team Coyle’s local market insights where applicable. The resulting ratings and classifications represent Team Coyle’s informed opinions and are intended as general informational guides, not guarantees or recommendations.

Important Disclosure: This analysis serves as a general, supplemental guide for consumers. The report cards featured on this page represent a curated selection of our dataset, and Team Coyle retains sole discretion over the publication and availability of individual municipal ratings. Users must independently verify all data critical to a real estate transaction and consult qualified professionals when appropriate. Ratings are current as of August 30, 2026.

Rating Categories

Academic Performance and Property Tax are ranked relative to the other municipalities within the TownRatings™ dataset. Commute to Boston and Shopping & Dining use fixed rating scales. Lifestyle is a non-ranked, descriptive classification.

  • Academic Performance

    Evaluates Grade 10 MCAS academic achievement in English Language Arts and Mathematics, together with Grade 10 student growth, using 2025 public school district data reported by the Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education (DESE). Ratings reflect each district’s relative position within the TownRatings™ dataset.

    Rating Tier Relative Position in Dataset
    Top Tier 90th percentile and above
    Upper Tier 70th to under 90th percentile
    Middle Tier 30th to under 70th percentile
    Lower Tier 10th to under 30th percentile
    Bottom Tier Below the 10th percentile

    Ratings compare Grade 10 public school district results only within the TownRatings™ dataset. They are not statewide classifications of overall school quality and do not evaluate private schools, individual public schools, other grade levels, programs, or individual student outcomes.

  • Commute to Boston

    Measures standardized weekday morning drive time from each municipality to a fixed destination in Boston and in-town MBTA transit availability, defined as a commuter-rail or rapid-transit option. A transit-option credit is factored into the Adjusted Commute Score to reflect the availability of an in-town alternative to driving. The transit component measures availability, not actual train travel time.

    Rating Scale Adjusted Commute Score (minutes)
    Easy ≤ 35
    Manageable > 35 to ≤ 55
    Typical > 55 to < 70
    Challenging ≥ 70 to < 80
    Difficult ≥ 80

    The Adjusted Commute Score is a standardized, transit-adjusted figure expressed in minutes for comparison across municipalities. Municipalities with qualifying in-town transit receive a credit and may score below their actual drive time; the score is not a door-to-door travel estimate.

  • Shopping & Dining

    Uses a structured 10-point rubric evaluating dining depth and variety, shopping depth and variety, and the strength of the municipality’s commercial centers. Evaluations draw on publicly available information and Team Coyle’s local market insights.


    Only establishments physically located within the municipality and generally available to the public are counted. Options located in neighboring municipalities are not included.

    Rating Scale Shopping & Dining Score
    Extensive 9–10
    Strong 7–8
    Moderate 5–6
    Limited 3–4
    Minimal 0–2

    Ratings use fixed score ranges and are not determined by percentiles or a predetermined distribution of municipalities. This category measures in-town commercial offerings, not access to shopping and dining in surrounding communities.

  • Lifestyle

    Provides each municipality with a non-ranked, descriptive classification based on its predominant development pattern and physical environment. The primary classifications—Urban, Suburban, and Rural—consider land use, development density, zoning patterns, and the built environment.

    A Historic modifier may be added where documented historic resources materially contribute to the municipality’s character, based on sources such as MACRIS, local historical commissions, and municipal records.

    Scale Urban · Suburban · Rural

    Modifier Historic

    These classifications describe characteristics of the municipality, not its residents, overall desirability, or suitability for any particular buyer.

  • Property Tax

    Compares each municipality’s FY2026 average single-family property tax bill using the Average Single-Family Tax Bill report issued by the Massachusetts Department of Revenue, Division of Local Services. The published amount is a municipality-level average and is not an estimate of the tax bill for any particular property.

    Rating Scale Relative Position by Tax Bill
    Very Low Below the 2.5th percentile
    Low 2.5th to under the 25th percentile
    Average 25th to under the 75th percentile
    High 75th to under the 97.5th percentile
    Very High 97.5th percentile and above

    Ratings rank the published average bills from lowest to highest within the TownRatings™ dataset. The classifications are relative and do not represent permanent dollar ranges. Because the average bill reflects both assessed values and the residential tax rate, a High or Very High classification indicates a relatively high average bill—not necessarily a high tax rate.

Limitations & Disclaimers

  • Informational only: TownRatings™ is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is subject to change without notice.
  • Category-specific: A favorable or unfavorable result in one category should not be interpreted as a judgment about a community’s overall quality, desirability, or suitability.
  • No duty to update: Team Coyle and its agents have no obligation to update, revise, or refresh any rating, commentary, methodology, or supporting information.
  • No warranties: To the fullest extent permitted by law, TownRatings™ and related information are provided on an “as is” and “as available” basis, without warranties of any kind. Team Coyle, its agents, and Compass make no representations or warranties as to accuracy, completeness, timeliness, reliability, or current availability.
  • No liability: To the fullest extent permitted by law, Team Coyle, its agents, and Compass shall not be liable for losses, damages, or costs arising from use of or reliance on TownRatings™ or related commentary.
  • Not advice: TownRatings™ and related commentary should not be relied upon as legal, tax, financial, investment, educational, transportation, appraisal, or other professional advice. Consult the appropriate licensed or qualified professionals before making a decision or taking action.
  • Verify independently: Commute times vary by route, timing, traffic, construction, weather, and MBTA conditions—check current schedules and test commutes personally. School performance, assignments, programs, and district information may change—confirm directly with school districts and DESE. Restaurants, retailers, commercial districts, property-tax figures, and other community characteristics can also change and should be independently verified.
  • Qualitative judgment: Certain TownRatings™ categories involve structured qualitative judgment. Reasonable people may weigh the same characteristics differently or reach different conclusions.
  • Third-party content: Third-party data, tools, and source material are not controlled or endorsed by Team Coyle, and their accuracy is not guaranteed. Trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
  • Broker disclosure: Team Coyle is a team of real estate agents affiliated with Compass. Compass Massachusetts, LLC d/b/a Compass is a licensed real estate broker and abides by equal housing opportunity laws.
  • Fair housing: Nothing in TownRatings™ should be used to encourage or discourage housing decisions based on race, color, religion, sex, disability, familial status, national origin, or any other characteristic protected by applicable federal, state, or local law.

Use of TownRatings™ and this website is also subject to Team Coyle’s Terms of Use.